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David Fisher's avatar

I do want Haley to win. But I did just place a ten to one bet on her losing. Was willing to make it $100 to $10 but my counter party insisted on only $10 to $1. There's no risk of Haley winning this thing, but it would be great if she made Trump sweat at least a little. I know folks cross party voting in NH where it is easy, so I'll predict distant second in Iowa, eking out first in NH and then a disastrously distant second in her home state of South Carolina effectively ending the run. She might stick around through super Tuesday but at the end of super tuesday it will be mathematically impossible for her to win the nomination. Hope I'm wrong. And you did just prompt me to look and see that I can vote in the R primary here in Texas so now I will.

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David Roberts's avatar

I agree with you. Any vote for Haley is bad for Trump and therefore good for the country. Here's a hypothetical question for you, unmoored to reality so you have to pretend.

Pretend that today, right now, you could guarantee that Haley would be the next president. Would you take that result? In other words, a Trump presidency is no longer a threat but President Haley is the price to pay.

I'd take it, thinking that a certain "bad" result is better than a 50% chance of a potentially disastrous result.

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